{"accounts":{"FAV":"control; buy YES if ask >= 0.85; else buy NO if (1-bid) >= 0.85","M1":"model; edge = p - mid; edge >= 0.05 buy YES at ask; edge <= -0.05 buy NO at 1-bid","M2":"model; same rule as M1","M5":"model; same rule as M1","RAND":"control; last hex digit of sha256(market_id) even -> YES else NO"},"committed_at":"2026-11-05T02:39:20+00:00","decision":"once per market, in the first snapshot (taken after rules commit) containing it","edge_threshold":0.05,"fav_threshold":0.85,"fill":"top of book only (Gamma bestBid/bestAsk at snapshot time); no depth modelled","initial_bankroll_usd":10000.0,"max_spread":0.1,"money":"paper only; no exchange connection, no wallet, no orders sent","prereg":"docs/pm-backtest-prereg.md 修正案 #8 §14","schema":"sitest.pm-paper-rules/v1","settlement":"YES/NO resolved -> 1/0 per share; void or non-binary -> stake refunded","stake_usd":100.0,"verdict":"per account: >= 200 settled orders, ROI > 0 and event-cluster bootstrap 95% CI excludes 0","win_rate":"reported, never a success criterion"}