{"considered":["2695696","2695698","3195606","4664396","4664441","5154713","5167059","5336562","5339867","5339967","5488340","5488362","5488363","5488364","5488366","5488368","5488369","5488370","5488371","5488372","5488373","5488374","5488375","5488376","5488377","5488378","5488379","5488380","5488381","5488549","5488554","5488557","6017474","6027261","6027443","6029038","6029327","6029429","6029462","6030007","6067064","6104803","6104814","6104833","6104881","6152861","6171148","6171195","6171477","6171833","6172048","6172386","6172575","6172673","6172730","6172734","6180276","6180278","6207377","6207379","6207381","6255157","6263307","6268102","6268108","6279754","6279780","6279839","6279938","6279939","6281226","6282800","6291723","6328749","6328751","6329511","6341641","6352045","6352049","6352052","6352053","6364486","6364504","6364515","6364519","6364520","6364521","6364522","6364523","6364858","6365348","6365430","6366321","6366322","6366338","6366341","6366343","6366344","6366416","6366823","6366829","6366830","6366831","6366832","6366833","6366838","6366840","6366845","6367313","6367314","6367315","6367317","6367322","6367324","6367325","6367326","6367372","6381878","6381879","6381880","6381888","6385047","6403111","6403112","6403127","6403128","6403143","6424258","6424261","6427837"],"n_picks":73,"picks":[{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"637442","market_id":"2695696","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain?","score":0.998759,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"637442","market_id":"2695698","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain?","score":0.998759,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"766238","market_id":"3195606","market_prob_of_side":0.9945,"question":"Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?","score":0.985168,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1040599","market_id":"4664396","market_prob_of_side":0.9945,"question":"Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?","score":0.9971,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1040600","market_id":"4664441","market_prob_of_side":0.9865,"question":"Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?","score":0.994313,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1108632","market_id":"5154713","market_prob_of_side":0.9445,"question":"Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.00T at the end of November 2026?","score":0.983169,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1111225","market_id":"5167059","market_prob_of_side":0.991,"question":"Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?","score":0.960925,"side":"YES"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1138701","market_id":"5336562","market_prob_of_side":0.9985,"question":"Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?","score":0.998435,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1138941","market_id":"5339967","market_prob_of_side":0.95,"question":"Exact Score: Any Other Score?","score":0.984106,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164155","market_id":"5488340","market_prob_of_side":0.997,"question":"Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488362","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488363","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488364","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488366","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488368","market_prob_of_side":0.9965,"question":"Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.991875,"side":"YES"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488369","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488370","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488371","market_prob_of_side":0.9955,"question":"Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488372","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488373","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488374","market_prob_of_side":0.9955,"question":"Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488375","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488376","market_prob_of_side":0.9955,"question":"Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488377","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488378","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488379","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488380","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1164157","market_id":"5488381","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1230571","market_id":"6017474","market_prob_of_side":0.967,"question":"Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?","score":0.983133,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1232337","market_id":"6029327","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Podemos win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?","score":0.997363,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1232340","market_id":"6029429","market_prob_of_side":0.996,"question":"Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Albacete in the 2026 Spanish general election?","score":0.997704,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1237579","market_id":"6067064","market_prob_of_side":0.961,"question":"Will Vox win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?","score":0.981654,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1244070","market_id":"6104803","market_prob_of_side":0.999,"question":"Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in November 2026?","score":0.998536,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1244070","market_id":"6104814","market_prob_of_side":0.999,"question":"Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in November 2026?","score":0.998536,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1244070","market_id":"6104833","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in November 2026?","score":0.998441,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1244070","market_id":"6104881","market_prob_of_side":0.9725,"question":"Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in November 2026?","score":0.966836,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1250189","market_id":"6171477","market_prob_of_side":0.965,"question":"Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in November?","score":0.976558,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1250295","market_id":"6172673","market_prob_of_side":0.971,"question":"Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November?","score":0.989442,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1250299","market_id":"6172730","market_prob_of_side":0.9655,"question":"Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November?","score":0.984232,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1250301","market_id":"6207381","market_prob_of_side":0.95,"question":"Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?","score":0.977142,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"140970","market_id":"6255157","market_prob_of_side":0.9915,"question":"Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?","score":0.994027,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1262075","market_id":"6268108","market_prob_of_side":0.995,"question":"Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026?","score":0.993209,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1262359","market_id":"6279754","market_prob_of_side":0.9745,"question":"Will any other model be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?","score":0.979427,"side":"YES"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1262379","market_id":"6279839","market_prob_of_side":0.9845,"question":"Will \"The Cat in the Hat\" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?","score":0.986612,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274101","market_id":"6364504","market_prob_of_side":0.935,"question":"Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?","score":0.940423,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274105","market_id":"6364519","market_prob_of_side":0.9975,"question":"Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of November 2?","score":0.991412,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274105","market_id":"6364520","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of November 2?","score":0.991412,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274105","market_id":"6364521","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2?","score":0.993088,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274105","market_id":"6364522","market_prob_of_side":0.9895,"question":"Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of November 2?","score":0.990396,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274105","market_id":"6364523","market_prob_of_side":0.983,"question":"Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?","score":0.980887,"side":"YES"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274180","market_id":"6365430","market_prob_of_side":0.9965,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?","score":0.998103,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274211","market_id":"6366321","market_prob_of_side":0.9785,"question":"Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 8, 2026?","score":0.981622,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274211","market_id":"6366338","market_prob_of_side":0.9655,"question":"Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 25, 2026?","score":0.97921,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274211","market_id":"6366341","market_prob_of_side":0.994,"question":"Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026?","score":0.995359,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274211","market_id":"6366343","market_prob_of_side":0.9605,"question":"Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 30, 2026?","score":0.972255,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":1,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366823","market_prob_of_side":0.9965,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 8, 2026?","score":0.991304,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366829","market_prob_of_side":0.9975,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 14, 2026?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366830","market_prob_of_side":0.995,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 15, 2026?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366831","market_prob_of_side":0.99,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 16, 2026?","score":0.995056,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366832","market_prob_of_side":0.9645,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 17, 2026?","score":0.979812,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":7,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366833","market_prob_of_side":0.9895,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 18, 2026?","score":0.994782,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366838","market_prob_of_side":0.9905,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 23, 2026?","score":0.994889,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366840","market_prob_of_side":0.995,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 25, 2026?","score":0.996041,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274293","market_id":"6366845","market_prob_of_side":0.995,"question":"Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 30, 2026?","score":0.997173,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367313","market_prob_of_side":0.998,"question":"Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.997924,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367314","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.998235,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367315","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.998235,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367317","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.998235,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367322","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.997974,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367324","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.997904,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367325","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.997904,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1274351","market_id":"6367326","market_prob_of_side":0.9995,"question":"Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?","score":0.998235,"side":"NO"},{"bucket_h":30,"event_id":"1280275","market_id":"6403143","market_prob_of_side":0.9935,"question":"Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?","score":0.995144,"side":"NO"}],"picks_rules_sha256":"dde61509a28a0b002bff31b700bc2fb392da96c4b6b00b1f254c0134794c52e2","schema":"sitest.pm-picks/v1","snapshot":"snap-20261108T003002Z.json","snapshot_at":"2026-11-08T00:30:02+00:00","snapshot_sha256":"d945edf8269b5ea18d0a1680f80ee43e90f10a214fbe571f71af11503419fe55"}