{
 "schema": "sitest.pm-shadow-settlement/v1",
 "settled_at": "2026-11-12T05:51:14.011793+00:00",
 "n_snapshots": 16,
 "n_markets_tracked": 2591,
 "n_settled": 525,
 "n_settled_uncertain": 256,
 "min_formal": 350,
 "verdict_allowed": false,
 "uncertain": {
  "n": 256,
  "yes_rate": 0.3359,
  "brier": {
   "market": 0.1517,
   "M1": 0.14986,
   "M2": 0.15206,
   "M5": 0.15186,
   "M10": 0.12975,
   "M11": 0.13036
  },
  "bss_vs_market": {
   "market": 0.0,
   "M1": 0.0122,
   "M2": -0.0024,
   "M5": -0.001,
   "M10": 0.0293,
   "M11": 0.0247
  },
  "n_by_arm": {
   "market": 256,
   "M1": 256,
   "M2": 256,
   "M5": 256,
   "M10": 175,
   "M11": 175
  }
 },
 "all": {
  "n": 525,
  "yes_rate": 0.2514,
  "brier": {
   "market": 0.08798,
   "M1": 0.08704,
   "M2": 0.08865,
   "M5": 0.08814,
   "M10": 0.07973,
   "M11": 0.07981
  },
  "bss_vs_market": {
   "market": 0.0,
   "M1": 0.0107,
   "M2": -0.0075,
   "M5": -0.0018,
   "M10": 0.0292,
   "M11": 0.0282
  },
  "n_by_arm": {
   "market": 525,
   "M1": 525,
   "M2": 525,
   "M5": 525,
   "M10": 311,
   "M11": 311
  },
  "event_ci_vs_market": {
   "M1": {
    "n_clusters": 248,
    "diff": -0.0009402132879714291,
    "lo": -0.004133372818899122,
    "hi": 0.0020159097463157364,
    "excludes_zero": false
   },
   "M2": {
    "n_clusters": 248,
    "diff": 0.000663898198897142,
    "lo": -0.0029831657766989624,
    "hi": 0.0045032247179733744,
    "excludes_zero": false
   },
   "M5": {
    "n_clusters": 248,
    "diff": 0.00015823314572571521,
    "lo": -0.0041687177503105105,
    "hi": 0.004662421660811188,
    "excludes_zero": false
   }
  }
 },
 "snapshots": [
  {
   "file": "snap-20261103T162438Z.json",
   "sha256": "3e1b38e456760fdc68d330f37831ee149d908928c2865e53aaeb8e0da4d695fb",
   "ots": "snap-20261103T162438Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-03T16:24:38+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1053
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261104T000231Z.json",
   "sha256": "dbf0624b0335d179d878b06ca087275e2dea196a1750a2dd3bf5cd0b65e403c8",
   "ots": "snap-20261104T000231Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T00:02:31+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1164
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261104T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "4eaecb29e1547406dc9af368ba663d2f9dc382dd106c1a67d968eeefc293a8be",
   "ots": "snap-20261104T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-04T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1167
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "9aa2c68cae35c0b6787004e741cbbfbcf152f3b41c0d22280e22796217453c07",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1145
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T023927Z.json",
   "sha256": "dbcc754a713303683f75f2464e309b70e62fee8c2a5ce452e595c929250ddb6f",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T023927Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T02:39:27+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1140
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T030905Z.json",
   "sha256": "3cb34e05c8bf7cb034ac77bd92793766577237ccd29d6edf6b33c619731cbb74",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T030905Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T03:09:05+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1140
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T065647Z.json",
   "sha256": "0cdcb08e54ee9c4ff59982444414446401a58e1ac7b0dfc9aebf595337dc6dfa",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T065647Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T06:56:47+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1150
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T090048Z.json",
   "sha256": "975ecaf2f44612f14568e1066d2db89fdb212ee66c43a06a39fd921f5d41cbd9",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T090048Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T09:00:48+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1172
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261105T115200Z.json",
   "sha256": "9165bbf692b41d9ef9f155d84efefb32f2a4c9d4af770522e4ca55dfe1166f76",
   "ots": "snap-20261105T115200Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-05T11:52:00+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1157
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261106T003014Z.json",
   "sha256": "e703a1e50c38b1588d5de6463a3bd1adb105ddfa2b12e6f24574722ab9a4b94c",
   "ots": "snap-20261106T003014Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-06T00:30:14+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1367
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261107T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "9241ea5148a48e190d3fbced9e742210afdd0717c1cd7df112e53492b36a2763",
   "ots": "snap-20261107T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-07T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1514
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261108T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "d945edf8269b5ea18d0a1680f80ee43e90f10a214fbe571f71af11503419fe55",
   "ots": "snap-20261108T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-08T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1464
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261109T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "b335ec17e51134699af5b35e076dd01c1bd61e7ba844d7c9d1bff5513a5b5216",
   "ots": "snap-20261109T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-09T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1533
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261110T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "69c24a0905e4e86b41f276764c885880f319e9da3067ac5e220cb3e19e4262bc",
   "ots": "snap-20261110T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-10T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1595
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261111T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "4b46aac262da44452444e6867cdc7af6f20ba8e865b8b5d58dd09d080fa10a55",
   "ots": "snap-20261111T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-11T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1722
  },
  {
   "file": "snap-20261112T003002Z.json",
   "sha256": "14baaf3e9111397650aa9aa14f3cde482b5a12fbf77034c44ce20d65048d8689",
   "ots": "snap-20261112T003002Z.json.ots",
   "snapshot_at": "2026-11-12T00:30:02+00:00",
   "n_rows": 1857
  }
 ]
}